Attribution & Marketing-Mix Modelling

Baseline Sales Drivers

This quiz explores non‑media factors—seasonality, price, distribution—that form the baseline in marketing‑mix models.

Baseline sales drivers include factors not directly controlled by marketing, such as ______.

cookie sync

CTR

banner colour

seasonality

Seasonal demand shifts explain background sales variability; modelling them prevents media over‑credit.

Distribution expansion affects baseline because more outlets increase ______ sales.

invalid

promo

organic

affiliate

Shelf availability boosts sales even without incremental media spend, raising the baseline.

Price elasticity means a 1 % price drop can raise units, shifting the ______ line upward.

search volume

cookie rate

media lift

baseline

Price cuts influence demand absent incremental marketing, so MMM includes price as a control variable.

Economic indicators like consumer confidence are lagged controls because they impact baseline with ______.

immediate

delay

reverse

random

Macro factors propagate into sales after a time; lags align their effect with retail timing.

Baselines are frequently decomposed into trend, season, and ______ components.

pixel

noise

adstock

creative

The noise term captures random fluctuation not explained by systematic variables.

Unmodelled baseline shifts can falsely inflate media ROI by attributing ______ growth to ads.

static

negative

zero

organic

If baseline rises for unrelated reasons, models that ignore it credit the increase to media spend.

Regression with holiday dummies controls for spikes like Black Friday that are ______ each year.

server

predictable

random

creative-led

Holiday fixed‑effects isolate repeatable peaks, refining media contribution estimates.

Stock‑outs create negative baseline shocks and should be coded as ______ variables.

binary or percentage

creative

cookie

geocode

Out‑of‑stock periods depress sales independent of marketing, requiring specific controls.

Route‑to‑market changes like D2C launch cause a level shift; MMM handles this with a ______ dummy.

structural break

adstock

spline

interaction

Level‑shift dummies capture one‑time jumps that re‑baseline the series.

Including leading indicators like 'add‑to‑cart' in baseline controls helps extend MMM to ______ forecasting.

decade long

creative

cookie

in‑flight short‑term

Early funnel KPIs predict near‑term sales, making baseline projections responsive to real‑time signals.

Starter

Review the basics.

Solid

Nice work—refine the details.

Expert!

Exceptional command of the topic.

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