Predictive / AI-Driven Analytics

Forecasting Fundamentals: Regression vs. Machine Learning

Forecasting can use statistical regression or machine‑learning approaches depending on data shape and goals. This quiz contrasts assumptions, validation, and when each is practical.

Classical linear regression assumes residuals are independent and identically distributed; in time‑series, this is often violated due to ______.

homography

autocorrelation

gamma correction

SIMD

Many adjacent observations are related over time, breaking independence. You must diagnose and model correlation explicitly.

For tabular demand with rich exogenous features, tree‑based ensembles excel because they capture ______ without manual specification.

non‑linear interactions

lossless image codecs

perfect stationarity

Fourier transforms automatically

Ensembles can model interactions and thresholds, reducing manual feature crosses required by simple regression.

When the target shows strong seasonality but short history, a robust baseline before ML is ______.

median of features

seasonal naive (repeat last season)

mean of labels shuffled

zero always

A seasonal naive sets a credible floor using last season’s value; models should beat this simple benchmark.

Regularized regression like Lasso or Ridge helps when predictors are many or correlated by shrinking ______.

residuals to Gaussian noise

dates into buckets only

time index to daily

coefficients toward zero

Penalties reduce overfit and handle multicollinearity, often improving generalization.

In ML forecasting, you typically reformulate the series as supervised learning with ______ and rolling windows.

RGB channels

lagged features

DNS records

JPEG masks

Lags and windows convert sequences into input–output pairs the model can learn from.

For out‑of‑sample evaluation on sequences, you should use ______ instead of random k‑folds.

time‑ordered splits (walk‑forward)

image‑based folds

stratified by RGB

leave‑one‑row random

Walk‑forward preserves causality and prevents peeking into the future during training.

If errors scale with magnitude, using ______ as the loss often yields more balanced training.

Euclidean pixel loss

ROC AUC alone

BLEU score

percentage losses (e.g., MAPE/SMAPE)

Scale‑free losses keep large series from dominating and align with relative accuracy goals.

A benefit of simple regression models in operations is that they are easier to ______.

serialize as GIF

interpret and troubleshoot

render with CSS only

compile to shaders

Transparent coefficients and diagnostics aid stakeholder trust and faster fixes.

Gradient boosting models can overfit without strong ______ such as learning‑rate shrinkage and early stopping.

regularization controls

font kerning

palette dithering

EXIF tagging

Controlling complexity prevents memorization and retains generalization to new periods.

When a causal uplift is required rather than pure prediction, consider ______ instead of standard regression.

treatment‑effect modeling/uplift methods

SVG filters

pure clustering only

color space conversion

Uplift approaches estimate incremental impact from an intervention, not just outcomes.

Starter

You’re new to forecasting fundamentals: regression vs. machine learning. Revisit key concepts and common pitfalls to build confidence.

Solid

Good grasp of forecasting fundamentals: regression vs. machine learning. Tighten validation, diagnostics, and deployment readiness.

Expert!

Excellent command of forecasting fundamentals: regression vs. machine learning. You’re ready to scale models and mentor others.

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