Attribution & Marketing-Mix Modelling

Lift vs. Holdout Size

Examine the trade‑offs between statistical power and opportunity cost when choosing test‑control proportions.

Larger holdout size increases statistical power but also raises ______ cost.

CPC

production

opportunity

impression

Foregoing ads on bigger control group sacrifices potential sales.

Meta’s 2025 guide suggests at least ______ users per cell for reliable lift tests.

10

1k

1

100k

Sample size ensures effect detection with reasonable confidence.

Power rises with holdout size because variance of control mean falls as 1/____.

n

log n

sqrt(n)

Standard error decreases with square root of sample size, boosting test sensitivity.

A 10% holdout is common when baseline conversion rate exceeds ______ %.

50

5

0.01

0.1

Higher base rates need fewer withheld users to observe lift.

Small holdout fractions risk contamination from ______ effects.

pixel

font

network

cookie

Interference can spill over when test and control users interact.

Geo lift tests use ≥20 geos per cell instead of % holdouts because each geo is relatively ______.

cookie-based

identical

static

independent

Geographic separation reduces contamination enabling smaller share by headcount.

Holdout duration should balance quick reads with enough ______ accumulation.

DNS

impressions

pixels

conversion

Ending too soon leaves under‑powered results despite adequate holdout share.

Sequential testing inflates type‑I error; pre‑planning a fixed holdout window preserves ______.

lambda

gamma

alpha

beta

Stopping rules must be defined to maintain statistical validity.

Dynamic holdouts periodically swap users to control to mitigate ______ bias.

ISP

creative

seasonal

audio

Rotating holdouts distributes seasonality equally across groups.

Opportunity cost of holdouts can be estimated by applying historical ______ ROAS to withheld spend.

blended

incremental

search

cookie

This quantifies revenue forgone due to withholding ads.

Starter

Review the basics.

Solid

Nice work—refine the details.

Expert!

Exceptional command of the topic.

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