A/B & Multivariate Testing

Sequential vs. Fixed‑Horizon Testing

Stopping rules shape error rates as much as p‑values do. Learn why peeking early requires different math from waiting until a fixed sample is reached..

Sequential testing differs from fixed‑horizon testing mainly in ______.

requiring equal sample splits only

allowing interim looks at the data

using non‑parametric metrics

banning multiple variants

Peeking early triggers alpha inflation unless corrected, so methods like O’Brien‑Fleming set stricter boundaries.

Repeatedly checking significance without adjustment inflates the risk of a ______.

Type II error (false negative)

Type I error (false positive)

missing data

power loss

Every extra peek adds chance to cross the arbitrary alpha threshold by randomness.

The ‘alpha spending’ approach in group‑sequential designs ______.

divides the total Type I error budget across looks

increases sample size each look

eliminates the need for p‑values

sets power to 100%

Allocating small portions of alpha early preserves overall 5% error.

A fixed‑horizon test typically requires the full pre‑calculated sample to avoid bias because ______.

users drop out

stopping early on apparent wins skews the lift upward

variance estimates are constant

traffic spikes daily

Conditional on stopping, the observed effect tends to overstate reality.

Sequential probability ratio tests (SPRT) compare the likelihood of data under two hypotheses after ______.

every 1000 samples exactly

quartile boundaries

each new observation or batch

the final day only

The test continues until the likelihood ratio crosses acceptance thresholds.

‘Power’ in the fixed‑horizon context is defined at ______ sample size.

any interim

adaptive

halfway

the predetermined final

The calculation assumes no looks before reaching that N.

Bayesian sequential methods often monitor the ______ directly rather than p‑values.

Bonferroni‑adjusted alpha

posterior probability of uplift

t‑statistic

critical z‑score

A stop can occur when the probability of benefit exceeds a chosen threshold.

In a two‑look group‑sequential design using O’Brien‑Fleming, the early boundary is ______ than 1.96.

larger

unrelated

equal to

smaller

Tougher early boundaries keep overall alpha at 5%, so z might need > 2.8 on first look.

Running a fixed‑horizon test longer than the planned sample size mainly risks ______.

inflating Type I error

creating unequal cookies

changing randomization ratio

diluting power if effect decays over time

More noise or seasonality can wash out previously detectable lift.

Adaptive tests that re‑allocate traffic during the experiment must update variance formulas to remain ______.

cheaper

faster

unbiased

monotonic

Changing probabilities alters the sampling distribution, so standard errors adjust with inverse propensity weighting.

Starter

Solidify the basics of the topic before running live tests.

Solid

You understand the core ideas—focus on edge‑cases to boost accuracy.

Expert!

Outstanding—you can teach your team and steer experimentation strategy.

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