A/B & Multivariate Testing

Controlling for Seasonality

Traffic ebbs and flows with holidays, paydays, and even the weather. Can you spot the best ways to keep those fluctuations from skewing your tests?

Launching a one‑week test only on Black Friday risks biased results due to ______ demand spikes.

pixel

server

seasonal

DNS

Holiday‑driven traffic surges can inflate metrics, making a variant look stronger than it truly is.

VWO’s 2025 playbook suggests avoiding tests during major ______ when typical user behaviour changes dramatically.

code freezes

holidays

browser updates

API refactors

Irregular days like public holidays can introduce confounding variables that mask a treatment’s real impact.

A simple technique to balance weekday vs. weekend effects is to run the test for full ______ cycles.

minute

weekly

hourly

quarterly

Whole‑week windows ensure each day‑of‑week pattern appears equally across control and variant groups.

If traffic shows predictable monthly peaks, analysts often include a ______ variable in their regression model.

memory leak

pixel ratio

seasonal dummy

binary search

Dummy (indicator) variables for months or holidays isolate seasonal effects from the treatment effect.

Extending a test through multiple pay‑day cycles helps control for seasonality tied to ______ frequency.

DNS TTL

salary

JPEG refresh

SSL handshake

Metrics like basket size can jump on pay days, so spanning those dates evens out income‑driven swings.

Which visualisation quickly shows whether control and variant have parallel trends before launch?

favicon sprite

pre‑test time‑series plot

sankey diagram

edge location map

Overlaying historical metrics highlights any divergence that could hint at seasonality bias.

Failing to equalise mobile vs desktop share between arms may hide a seasonal surge from a new ______ release.

router

smartphone

SQL driver

GPU

Device mix can shift when a popular handset drops, so stratified sampling keeps variants comparable.

A split‑traffic experiment that re‑randomises visitors daily risks mis‑measuring long buying cycles known as ______ effects.

carry‑over

cookie‑sync

viewport

gzip

Visitors who switch arms across days can blur attribution, especially when purchases lag visits.

Statisticians often apply Fourier or Prophet models to ______ raw metrics before analysing lift.

minify

compress

encrypt

deseasonalize

Removing regular cyclical components reveals the genuine experiment signal.

According to 2025 CRO guides, minimum recommended duration for most site‑wide tests is ______ weeks to average out short‑term seasonal noise.

thirteen

four

one‑half

fifty‑two

A month‑long window typically covers payday, marketing calendars, and weekday patterns, giving more reliable results.

Starter

You’re new to controlling for seasonality. Revisit the fundamentals and try running a few simple tests to build confidence.

Solid

Solid grasp of controlling for seasonality concepts—refine the details with more hands‑on practice.

Expert!

Expert level! You can design, run, and interpret advanced controlling for seasonality experiments like a pro.

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